The Long Road to the Threshold
1. Novelty Is Usually a Disguise Most technology ideas arrive in the world disguised as novelty. They are announced as rupture. As invention. As the sudden appe...
Category: Futures
Beyond the Codex Moment
In my previous post, I described what I called my “CODEX moment”: the realization that the capabilities of agentic engineering tools have crossed a threshold. F...
My CODEX Moment
An Inflection Point I wrote my first line of code in 1981 on a Sinclair ZX80. It wasn’t compiled or linked, and persistence was tenuous at best. You wrote in BA...
Zombie Governance
When Systems Outpace Judgment Modern institutions now make more consequential decisions in a single day than leaders once made in a year. Increasingly, those de...
Inflection Points
Although the articles on adamalthus.com represent my personal views on the intersection of technology, policy and economics I rarely write about the personal im...
The ‘Metaform’ – The Platform of Everything
We are witnessing a period of unparalleled digital service innovation where new services are increasingly built by wiring together the business capabilities of ...
Is there a ‘can’ in your future?
In the economics of computing the most expensive resource is still the network. In scenarios where large data-sets are being processed it is almost always cheap...
The Composable Enterprise
We have witnessed a major shift over recent decades towards a digital services based economy[1]. Exponential growth in the power of information technology enhan...
The Laws of Platform Economics
The economic evolution of computing platforms appears to be guided by a number of ‘Laws’ that are independent of any specific underlying technology....
Cloud Computing: A Short Guide For The Perplexed
Over the last couple of years the term cloud computing has become become public relations shorthand for “Look, look, we’re also cool.” The exp...